Posted by Chris Gilson.
Latest Poll Information for 8 April
|Party||Sky News Poll Tracking||LSE Poll Tracking|
|Per cent||Per cent|
|Last Change||8 April||8 April|
From today, we have decided to switch from using the BBC’s polling measure, which is essentially the most recent poll, to Sky’s “Poll of Polls” which takes into account MORI, YouGov, Populus and ComRes polling. Both this measure and ours have Labour on 31 per cent. Since Tuesday, Labour have risen by two points, while the Conservatives have remained steady on 39 per cent. The Liberal Democrats have edged down two points to 18 per cent. and the ‘Other’ parties remain steady on 12 per cent, which is fairly consistent with their recent position. These recent results suggest that Labour’s run of polls before Easter on below 30 per cent (following the Budget and its aftermath) may have been a temporary drop. The situation could be returning to the earlier levels one Labour getting 31 or 32 per cent, with the Tories still ahead by 7 or 8 per cent as our graph of our measure since February indicates.
Party support prior to 2010 General Election
In the recent Populus/Times poll, the ‘other’ parties have dropped considerably to 8 per cent. Contrast this with our measure (12 per cent) and the latest YouGov polls which put these parties on 11 per cent. As can be expected, Angus Reid is way off the other polls in giving Labour a score just 26 per cent; but it seems more in line with the rest for the Conservatives (37 per cent) and the Liberal Democrats (22 per cent).