Brexit

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    Aberystwyth et son amour: talking to locals in the UK’s most Europhile town

Aberystwyth et son amour: talking to locals in the UK’s most Europhile town

Is Aberystwyth, a small town in West Wales, really as Europhile as the recent YouGov polling suggests? Sarah Trotter and Nick Morgan, two PhD researchers who grew up there, returned to the town to ask locals about the prospect of a Brexit.

Aberystwyth, a small town nestled away on the coast of West Wales, has recently been making a […]

April 25th, 2016|Brexit, Featured|0 Comments|
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    A “permanent minority”? Britons are more likely to be outvoted in Westminster than in Brussels or Strasbourg

A “permanent minority”? Britons are more likely to be outvoted in Westminster than in Brussels or Strasbourg

Does European integration cause people in Britain, and possibly other member states, to be systematically outvoted on the policies they care most about, and find themselves relegated to a position of “permanent minorities”? Thomas Hale and Mathias Koenig-Archibugi provide some surprising answers.

In our article Are Europeans Ready for a More Democratic European Union?, we analyse a large amount of […]

April 19th, 2016|Brexit, Featured|1 Comment|
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    Turn out or else: do referendum campaigns actually change voters’ minds?

Turn out or else: do referendum campaigns actually change voters’ minds?

Over £9m has been spent on leaflets for all British household outlining the arguments in favour of remaining in the EU. But do campaign activities actually sway voters in referendums? Would campaigners do best to try to change minds, or simply motivate their supporters to turn out at the polls? Which arguments will prove decisive? Sara Hobolt and Sara Hagemann report […]

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    The generation gap: How young voters view the UK’s referendum

The generation gap: How young voters view the UK’s referendum

Opinion polls on the UK’s upcoming referendum have consistently shown a clear generational divide, with younger voters more likely to support staying in the EU than older citizens. Using recent survey data, James Sloam assesses the factors underpinning this split, noting that if young people have such a distinct position on the EU, it is important that their […]

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    Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where?

Can we really not predict who will vote for Brexit, and where?

In a recent Guardian article, Simon Jenkins suggested that voter decisions regarding the EU referendum will be made on the basis of gut instinct alone, and that personal characteristics and previous party support provide no guide. Using a new modelling strategy applied to a large body of YouGov opinion poll data, Ron Johnston, Kelvyn Jones and David Manley address Jenkins’ claim, and find it wanting. The young and the well-qualified […]

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    Nostalgia, xenophobia, anti-neoliberalism: the roots of Leave’s nationalism

Nostalgia, xenophobia, anti-neoliberalism: the roots of Leave’s nationalism

Nationalism is a key element of the Leave campaigns, says Michael Lloyd. But it takes very different forms on the right and left – and indeed in England and Scotland. On the right, nationalism draws on a nostalgic view of the Commonwealth. On the left, it subscribes to an English exceptionalism that believes a federal Europe is incompatible with the struggle […]

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    The question is not whether Brexit will cost the UK in economic terms but how much

The question is not whether Brexit will cost the UK in economic terms but how much

For over two years, a research team at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) has been studying the likely impact of the UK leaving the European Union. Their latest report focuses on the impact of ‘Brexit’ through changing trade patterns. Under ‘optimistic’ assumptions, there is a fall in national income of 1.3 per cent (about £850 per household). Under ‘pessimistic’ assumptions, this doubles […]

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    A Brexit could make it easier for Scotland to join the EU as an independent state

A Brexit could make it easier for Scotland to join the EU as an independent state

One of the key issues in the 2014 referendum on Scottish independence was the question of how an independent Scotland could join the EU and whether it would retain the same membership terms as the UK. Merijn Chamon and Guillaume Van der Loo revisit the issue in light of the UK’s upcoming referendum on EU membership. They argue that if […]

Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported
This work by British Politics and Policy at LSE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported.