Brexit

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    Book Review: How to Stop Brexit (and Make Britain Great Again) by Nick Clegg

Book Review: How to Stop Brexit (and Make Britain Great Again) by Nick Clegg

In How to Stop Brexit (and Make Britain Great Again), Nick Clegg offers a short, accessible book seeking to persuade the ambivalent or undecided as to why Brexit should be stopped; to suggest what the average voter can do about it; and to propose an alternative model for relations between Britain and Europe. While this is an engaging and […]

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    Brexit assessments: ignorance isn’t bliss — quantitative forecasts do matter

Brexit assessments: ignorance isn’t bliss — quantitative forecasts do matter

When questioned about the government’s Brexit sectoral impact assessments, David Davis said there were none, because “economic forecasts do not work”. Costas Milas explains why this excuse does not hold up.

Quizzed at a hearing of the Exiting the European Union Committee, Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union David Davis stated that there are no sectoral impact assessments […]

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    Reforming modern employment: have the Conservatives done enough to become the party of workers?

Reforming modern employment: have the Conservatives done enough to become the party of workers?

Have the Conservatives fulfilled Theresa May’s pledge to become Britain’s workers’ party? Not as it currently stands, writes Tonia Novitz. She explains what the actual plight of British workers is, what steps have been taken by May’s government to address it, and why they fall short of what is needed.

Can the Tories can become ‘the workers’ party’? This was […]

Autumn 2017 Budget: a predictable one for business taxes

Following her pre-Budget article on what the Chancellor might have been looking to include in his speech, Judith Knott now looks at the announcements as they pertain to business taxes and explains their significance.

When a Chancellor’s room for manoeuvre in the Budget is highly constrained, what emerges tends towards the predictable. The Autumn 2017 Budget is a case in […]

Budget 2017 and the economy: bad news all round

Following the 2017 Budget, Michael Ellington and Costas Milas offer some first comments on why, regardless of whether one supports Britain’s exit from the EU or not, the current situation is not good news.

To keep Brexiteers off his back, Chancellor Hammond did not spell it out, but Brexit-related uncertainty is taking its toll on the economy: anaemic GDP growth […]

Will Christmas come early in the Brexit negotiations?

Michel Barnier has indicated that the UK has two weeks left to make concessions if the Brexit negotiations are to advance to the next stage at the December European Council meeting. Simon Usherwood writes that the next fortnight is set to be critical in determining whether the UK and EU are ready to make progress in settling their evolving relationship.

Christmas comes sooner that you think […]

What motivated Conservative MPs to back or oppose Brexit?

The Conservative Party’s divisions over the EU are well known. But what motivated MPs to back Leave or Remain? Luke Moore uses logistic regression analysis to consider three key motivations: seeking office, votes, or that particular policy. He explains why all three affected Conservative MPs’ decision making, but that policy- or office-seeking were more prominent.

The divisions amongst Conservative MPs […]

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    The Brexit vote has caused a significant rise in prices, especially food

The Brexit vote has caused a significant rise in prices, especially food

Since the referendum, UK inflation has risen faster than that of the Eurozone. Price rises have varied across sectors, but Josh De Lyon, Swati Dhingra, and Stephen Machin show that the rise in the growth rate of food prices has been particularly pronounced. As a result, real wage growth in the UK has again turned negative. 

The pattern of significantly higher price inflation […]